CME: Hog Slaughter Higher Than a Year Ago
US - Steve Meyer and Len Steiner write, "Since we did not get a chance to discuss it on Friday, below are some of the highlights."Slaughter and production numbers were lower
due to the shortened holiday week. Cattle slaughter for the week was 530,000 head, some 7 per cent lower than a year ago. Dressed
carcass weights are currently well below year ago levels and this has further reduced the supply of beef available in the marketplace,
with total beef production down 8.6 per cent for the week. The reduction in slaughter numbers was mostly a result of fewer fed
cattle coming to market but also a moderate reduction in cow slaughter. Steer and heifer slaughter for the week was estimated
at 422,000 head, 8.3 per cent lower than a year ago. Cow and bull slaughter for the week were estimated at 108,000 head, 3.6 per cent lower
than a year ago.
Hog slaughter, on the other hand, was slightly higher than a year ago. Rising cutout values and good holiday
demand for pork items, especially hams, caused packers to raise bids in order to secure hogs this week. The IA/MN hog carcass
price for the week was quoted at $55.99 /cwt, 9.5 per cent higher than a week ago and now 5.6 per cent higher than year ago levels. Pork cutout
values continued to advance this week and were up 4.6 per cent from a week ago and they currently are 4.4 per cent higher than year ago
levels. Ham prices should be firm through the first half of December and it remains to be seen how well the pork cutout is able
to hold up following the normal seasonal decline in ham values.
USDA issued its latest weekly update on US corn and soybean harvest on Monday and the results were generally
within the range of expectations. Corn harvest remains well below year ago levels but, as the chart below illustrates,
US farmers have made up significant ground in recent weeks following an especially slow start to the season. As of November
29, 79 per cent of the US corn crop had been harvested compared to 94 per cent a year ago and 97 per cent average for the past five years.
Harvest is well behind schedule in the Dakotas, with
North Dakota corn harvest at just 40 per cent, compared to
89 per cent five year average. Harvest in Illinois was at
72 per cent, compared to 98 per cent a year ago and 99 per cent average
for 2004-08. Soybean harvest, on the other hand, is
in much better shape. USDA reports that 96 per cent of the
soybean crop had been harvested through November
29, compared to 98 per cent a year ago and 98 per cent five year
average. In a normal year, this would be the final
USDA crop progress report. However, with 21 per cent of
the corn crop yet to be harvested, USDA has extended
the reporting window and the final report now is
scheduled for 7 December. The last time we could
find when the progress report was extended to such a
late date was in 1992. That year was one of the slowest
harvests on record, with 75 per cent completed through
the last weekend in November. Corn yield in 1992
was 108.6 bu./acre, down 8.4 per cent from the prior year.
The latest USDA estimate pegs 2009 corn harvest to
yield on average 162.9 bu./acre, a 5.8 per cent increase from
year ago levels.
Page 2 of the link below contains the summary of price and production numbers for the previous week.
Further Reading
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